Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Capitalisation is healthy, as reflected in Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 13.34% and overall CAR of 15.88% as on June 30, 2024 (13.36% and 16.11%, respectively, as on March 31, 2024). The capital position is supported by timely capital raises with the latest being Rs 3,200 crore raised in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 and Rs 3,000 crore raised in fiscal 2024. On June 30, 2024, the bank’s consolidated networth was sizeable at Rs 33,518 crore, thereby providing cushion against asset-side risks, with networth coverage for net NPAs of 28.0 times as on that date. (Rs 32,274 crore and 27.8 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2024).
As the growth strategy remains focused on the retail and commercial loans portfolio with a corresponding scale down of the legacy infrastructure loan portfolio, the bank’s capital consumption is expected to reduce. Additionally, steady profitability will aid capitalisation ensuring that it remains healthy to support credit growth over the medium term.
- Strong liability franchise:
The customer deposits (excluding the certificate of deposits) grew by 42% (year on year) to Rs 1,93,753 crore as on March 31, 2024, from Rs. 1,36,812 crore as on March 31, 2023. This was largely driven by traction in granular deposit franchise (CASA deposits and term deposits up to Rs 5 crore) which grew 39% between fiscals 2023 and 2024; These deposits comprised 79% of total deposits as on March 31, 2024. Mobilisation of CASA deposits have been steady, accounting for 47.2% of total deposits (37.7% of overall resources) as on March 31, 2024 (49.8% (35.7%), as on March 31, 2023).
The customer deposits grew further to Rs 2,04,572 crore as on June 30, 2024. CASA and term deposits up to Rs. 5 crore comprised 80% of total deposits as on as on June 30, 2024. CASA deposits were at 46.6% (37.4% of overall resources) as on June 30, 2024, in absolute terms overall CASA remains stable.
Over the past few years, the bank has reduced its dependence on wholesale deposits, certificate of deposits and discharged majority of other high-cost legacy liabilities by replacing it with retail deposits. This has strengthened its overall liability franchise by making it more granular. As the bank’s credit grows over the medium term, its ability to adequately scale its retail liability base to support this traction will remain a monitorable.
- Increased retailisation of asset book supporting the stability in asset quality:
Total funded assets grew to Rs 2,09,361 crore as on June 30, 2024, from Rs 2,00,965 crore as on March 31, 2024, (Rs 1,60,599 crore as on March 31, 2023). This growth was propelled by significant scale up in the proportion of granular retail and commercial book to 83% of the overall funded assets as on June 30, 2024 (83% and 79% as on March 31, 2024 and March 31, 2023 respectively).
The retail and commercial portfolio grew to Rs 1,73,796 crore as on June 30, 2024, from Rs 1,66,604 crore as on March 31, 2024, and Rs 1,26,135 crore as on March 31, 2023. There was growth across retail product offerings including prime home loans, new vehicle loans, credit card, gold loans, education loans, tractor loans being launched in the last 2 years and being scaled up from a relatively low base. As the infrastructure financing portfolio, which was a major contributor to the GNPAs of the bank in the past, has already reduced sharply (being gradually replaced by retail loans which have grown at a steady pace) the portfolio composition has changed structurally, leading to improvement in the overall asset quality.
In the coming years, the management plans to maintain its steady growth trajectory in the retail and commercial loan book by leveraging their expertise and track record and targeting small entrepreneurs and retail customers to drive growth. On the other hand, the corporate book (non-infrastructure; 15% of total funded assets as on June 30, 2024) is expected to grow selectively while the infrastructure book (1.3% as on June 30, 2024) is left to run down. Consequently, the concentration risk in total funded assets has reduced, with the top 10 borrowers accounting for only 1.97% as on June 30, 2024.
The bank’s overall GNPAs stood at 1.90% (Rs 3,904 crore) as on June 30, 2024 and 1.88% (Rs 3,718 crore) as on March 31, 2024, having improved from 2.51% (Rs 3,884 crore) as on March 31, 2023 and 3.70% (Rs 4,469 crore) as on March 31, 2022. This was supported by lower overall slippages and improved asset quality in the retail and commercial funded assets and write-offs in the legacy infra book. The bank’s provision coverage ratio also remains healthy at 69.4% as on June 30, 2024.
The bank continues to take various risk management initiatives including reducing borrower concentration, industry concentration, exposure to high-risk sectors, which should support the overall asset quality over the medium term. Nevertheless, given the recent high growth rates in the retail portfolio, asset quality performance as the portfolio seasons will need to be seen.
Weakness:
- Modest, albeit range bound, profitability:
The net earnings on a consolidated basis were Rs 2,942 crore for fiscal 2024 with return on average assets (ROAA) of 1.1%, against Rs 2,485 crore and 1.2%, respectively, for fiscal 2023. Net earnings were Rs 643 crore with ROAA of 0.9% in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. Over the past few fiscals, net earnings have been low due to the investments required to scale up the business, as well as higher credit costs emanating from the legacy book and the Covid-19 pandemic.
Given that the bank has been in its early stage of growth, in order to diversify their retail product offerings to include prime home loans, credit card, new car loans, gold loans, education loans, tractor loans among others and to enhance CASA deposits and retailisation of the loan book, the bank rolled out 749 new branches, 1,104 new automated teller machines (ATMs), hired more than 30,500 employees, and invested in digital innovation initiatives since December 2018. The bank has also launched and scaled up Wealth Management, FASTag, Cash Management, Transaction Banking services which entailed set up costs. As a result, operating cost remains relatively high. However, it is expected to reduce over the medium term with planned expansion in funded assets leading to economies of scale.
The net interest margin remains healthy at 6.2% for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 against 6.1% of average total assets for fiscal 2024 (5.9% and 5.5%, respectively, for fiscals 2023 and 2022) given the asset-side focus.
It is partly offset by higher credit costs of 1.3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 as against 0.9% in fiscal 2024 (0.8% in fiscal 2023). This is on account of rise in early delinquencies witnessed in the retail segment across the industry. Stage III Provision coverage ratio of 69.4% as on June 30, 2024, against 68.8% as on March 31, 2024, was also adequate and continues to support the credit risk profile from potential credit losses. Including technical write-offs, provision coverage was 87.5% as on June 30, 2024, against 86.6% as on March 31, 2024 (80.3% as on March 31, 2023).
CRISIL Ratings expects overall profitability of the bank to benefit from increasing proportion of the relatively higher-yielding retail advances, reducing reliance on high-cost wholesale borrowings, operating efficiency kicking in with scale up and incremental credit cost remaining range bound. As the business scales up, the bank’s ability to sustain improvement in profitability will remain a key monitorable.